Demography is about good statistics, but should we believe the numbers we produce?
For instance, do these puzzles have good explanations?
If an average woman in Switzerland goes through her full reproductive life when the average fertility rate (TFR) is 1.5, how does she end up with an average of 1.8 children?
How can it be that the TFR of foreigners is higher that that of the native Swiss, yet they have smaller families?
If spacing between children has remained constant, how is it that the difference in mean age of successive birth orders has declined?
AACaPS 13th Biennial ConferenceA Century of Revolutionary Change: 1917-2017
June 29-30, 2017
Australian National University,
Patterns of marriage can be recognized from datasets listing couples’ and individuals’ characteristics. However, such typical marriage datasets are hardly able to disclose the marriage formation processes of how those singles searching for partners before successfully mating.
Please join us to celebrate the publication of Responding to Global Poverty by Professor Christian Barry and Professor Gerhard Øverland. Light catering will be provided
Australian departments and agencies have recently begun exploring models for trusted access to research data, culminating in the recent release of the ABS Trusted Access Model and the Trusted user model included in the draft report of the Productivity Commission into Data Availability and Use. Both of these models have their origins in the United Kingdom, and the 5 Safes Model developed in collaboration between the UK Data Service and the Office of National Statistics.
Session 1: 9:30 to 11:00
Refreshment Break: 11:00 to 11:15
Session 2: 11:15 to 12:45
Lunch: 12:45 to 1:30
John Broome (Stanford/ANU): Climate change, efficiency, future generations and the non-identity effect.
Greenhouse gas is an externality. Elementary economic theory claims that any externality creates inefficiency. This means it is possible to correct the externality in a way that benefits some people and is bad for no one. So a response to climate change can be designed that is in in the interest of everyone in every generation; it is not necessary for the present generation to make a sacrifice for the sake of the future.
Population projection and the implication on national budget: a case of Indonesian demographic profile
Indonesia is the largest economy in Southeast Asia – accounting for just over a third of the region’s GDP – and is the world’s fourth most populous nation. The typical long-run demographic scenario for an emerging economy like Indonesia is that an increase in the number of young people will lead to an increase in the labour force which in turn boosts economic growth. This will also lead to a lower dependency ratio.